The French are going to vote on Sunday for the second round of the legislative elections, the result of which will draw the room for maneuver of the re-elected president, Emmanuel Macron, for the next five years, against a united left, reports AFP, quoted by Agerpres.
Some 48 million voters are expected to vote in the heat of the moment in France, but absenteeism is expected to be massive in the first round, according to opinion polls. More than 50% of voters ignored the June 12 vote.
Polling stations open at 06.00 GMT and close at 16.00 GMT, except in large cities where the deadline is extended until 18.00 GMT, when the first estimates will be known.
If the election is very close, the precise distribution of seats in the National Assembly – and therefore the absolute majority or not for President Macron – could be known only late into the night.
The latest polls on Friday suggest that the central coalition Ensemble! (Together!) Led by the party of the head of state would win, but without the certainty of obtaining this absolute majority of 289 deputies (out of 577), the essential threshold to achieve its announced policy and reforms.
In the case of a relative majority, this will force him to seek the support of other political groups for the approval of bills.
Macron’s alliance was close to the left after the first round
In the first round, the current majority garnered about 26% of the vote, just ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s left-wing NUPES alliance. He succeeded in bringing together socialists, environmentalists, communists and his own radical left movement, La France Insoumise.
In the last line, Emmanuel Macron, who went to Kyiv for the first time on Thursday, dramatized the stakes, saying that the war in Ukraine affected the daily life of the French and insisted on “the need for a truly European Union that can speak in a clear and distinct voice. “
At the same time, he launched the scarecrow of the “extremists” who, if imposed, would look like “disorder” in France, accusing them of wanting to leave Europe.
Sunday’s election puts an end to a long electoral cycle in France that will confirm a vast political reshuffle of the country around three blocs at the expense of traditional parties, which began with the election of Emmanuel Macron in 2017.
France has voted four times in two years
The French have voted no less than four times in two years, in a tense context of successive crises, from the COVID-19 pandemic to the war in Ukraine to rising inflation and threats to the economy.
For the united left – a first for decades – the stakes are to impose a cohabitation on the head of state, but it has a smaller voting pool than the presidential coalition.
Even without a majority, the left is, however, almost certain that it will be the main opposition bloc in the Assembly, a role assumed so far by the right.
The other stake in the election, and perhaps the main lesson of this long election sequence, is the rise of the far right behind Navy Le Pen, who is already running for president.
His party, Rassemblement National (RN), hopes to reach the threshold of 15 elected to form a group in the National Assembly. It would be only the second time in the party’s history that the two-round majority voting system is unfavorable.
And RN is the only individual party that has progressed in terms of votes since the last legislative elections in 2017.
As for the classical right, it relies on about sixty deputies and may, paradoxically, find itself in the position of acting as arbiter in the next Assembly.
On the other hand, several ministers, including Clément Beaune (Europe) and Amélie de Montchalin (Ecological Transition), are playing their political future in close battles in the Paris region.
A more or less extensive government reshuffle is expected after the elections, France Presse concludes.
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